Pair #4132

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-LCLA

Will Luke Clanton win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 87152

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2444

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:26Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 20. Top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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