Pair #4129

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-AECK

Will Austin Eckroat win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Austin Eckroat
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 69003

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Austin Eckroat wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AECK

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Austin Eckroat finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Austin Eckroat
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6793

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:26Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily in the top 10. Top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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