Pair #4127

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matti Schmid finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matti Schmid
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10899

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matti Schmid finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matti Schmid make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matti Schmid
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 476

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matti Schmid has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 logically requires having made the cut first. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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