Pair #4124

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RCAS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ricky Castillo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ricky Castillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2637

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ricky Castillo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RCAS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ricky Castillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ricky Castillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2923

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ricky Castillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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