Pair #4119

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 287

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3081

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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