Pair #4118

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3081

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 336

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 necessarily means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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