Pair #4116

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GSAR

Will Gordon Sargent lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8574

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3081

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:09Z

Reasoning: Leading after R1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish, and finishing top 20 does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue