Pair #4114

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-GSAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gordon Sargent make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 336

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gordon Sargent has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GSAR

Will Gordon Sargent lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8574

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gordon Sargent is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:09Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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