Pair #4110

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RCAM

Will Rafael Campos win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 280

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RCAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rafael Campos make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1190

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:54Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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