Pair #4108

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-NECH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 711

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-NECH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1274

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:54Z

Reasoning: Top 5 is a subset of top 10, so finishing top 5 necessarily implies finishing top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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