Pair #4106

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-NECH

Will Nicolas Echavarria win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 107041

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolas Echavarria wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-NECH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolas Echavarria finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 711

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolas Echavarria finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:54Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 5. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue