Pair #4105

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-NSHI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Neal Shipley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1607

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NSHI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Neal Shipley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6219

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:54Z

Reasoning: Top 10 is a subset of top 20, so finishing top 10 necessarily implies finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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