Pair #410

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXBUNDESLIGATOTAL-26MAR21BMUUNI-3

Union Berlin at Bayern Munich: Totals

Series: KXBUNDESLIGATOTAL
Entity: Over 3.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T18:30:00Z
Volume: 2911

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Union Berlin and Bayern Munich collectively score more than 3.5 total goals in the Union Berlin at Bayern Munich professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXUCLTOTAL-26MAR18LFCGAL-3

Galatasaray at Liverpool: Totals

Series: KXUCLTOTAL
Entity: Over 3.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4287

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Galatasaray and Liverpool collectively score more than 3.5 total goals in the Galatasaray at Liverpool professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:59Z

Reasoning: These are independent soccer games in different competitions. No logical implication exists between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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