Pair #4098

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JVEG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2219

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JVEG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 976

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: A top-10 finish necessarily means the player made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without having made the cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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