Pair #4095

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JVEG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 976

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-JVEG

Will Jhonattan Vegas lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9944

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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