Pair #4093

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JVEG

Will Jhonattan Vegas win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 205728

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JVEG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2219

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top-10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue