Pair #4091

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-PNYH

Will Pontus Nyholm win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 900

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pontus Nyholm wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PNYH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pontus Nyholm finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 619

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top-10 finish. The reverse does not hold — a top-10 finish does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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