Pair #4082

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HENG

Will Harris English lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Harris English
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 735

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harris English is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HENG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harris English finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Harris English
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2357

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harris English finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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