Pair #4079

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3144

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1421

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:17Z

Reasoning: If Highsmith finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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