Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JHIG
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1421
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JHIG
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3850
YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Joe Highsmith has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:17Z
Reasoning: If Highsmith finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.3100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A