Pair #4077

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3850

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3144

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:00Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish — a player can make the cut and finish outside top 10. Finishing top 10 does imply making the cut, but the reverse is not true, so only one direction holds. However, top 10 → make cut is a true implication.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue