Pair #4076

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5795

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1421

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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