Pair #4075

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5795

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3850

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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