Pair #4073

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KLEE

Will Kyoung-Hoon Lee win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4877

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kyoung-Hoon Lee wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kyoung-Hoon Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4675

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kyoung-Hoon Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:13:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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