Pair #4062

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-PROD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Rodgers finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 920

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-PROD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Rodgers finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patrick Rodgers
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5234

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:12:41Z

Reasoning: If Rodgers finishes top 5, he is necessarily also in the top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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