Pair #406

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXEPLTOTAL-26MAR21EVECFC-4

Chelsea at Everton: Totals

Series: KXEPLTOTAL
Entity: Over 4.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T21:30:00Z
Volume: 228

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chelsea and Everton collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Chelsea at Everton professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAR22OMLIL-4

Lille at Marseille: Totals

Series: KXLIGUE1TOTAL
Entity: Over 4.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-22T20:15:00Z
Volume: 1020

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lille and Marseille collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Lille at Marseille professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:59Z

Reasoning: These are independent soccer games in different leagues. No logical implication exists between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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