Pair #4053

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MMEI

Will Mac Meissner win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7816

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MMEI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mac Meissner finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 258

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:12:22Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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