Pair #4039

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-LHOD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lee Hodges make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 351

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-LHOD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lee Hodges finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 633

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:59Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish. Finishing top 5 implies making the cut (B→A), but that is the reverse direction. Making the cut does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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