Pair #4037

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-LHOD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lee Hodges make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 351

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-LHOD

Will Lee Hodges lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6964

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:59Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player can lead R1 and then have a bad R2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not imply leading after R1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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