Pair #4036

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-LHOD

Will Lee Hodges win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19240

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-LHOD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lee Hodges make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 351

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lee Hodges has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:59Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, which means Hodges must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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