Pair #4033

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-LGLO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1129

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LGLO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1320

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:59Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee finishing top 20 overall (could miss cut or fall back). Finishing top 20 overall does not require a top 10 Round 1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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