Pair #4028

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KVIL

Will Karl Vilips win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 277059

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KVIL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Karl Vilips finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7713

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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