Pair #4026

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KROY

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2622

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KROY

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10585

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:35Z

Reasoning: If Kevin Roy finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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