Pair #402

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAR22FCNRCS-4

Strasbourg Alsace at Nantes: Totals

Series: KXLIGUE1TOTAL
Entity: Over 4.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-22T23:45:00Z
Volume: 1259

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Strasbourg Alsace and Nantes collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Strasbourg Alsace at Nantes professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXUCLTOTAL-26MAR18BARNEW-4

Newcastle at Barcelona: Totals

Series: KXUCLTOTAL
Entity: Over 4.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-18T21:45:00Z
Volume: 3595

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Newcastle and Barcelona collectively score more than 4.5 total goals in the Newcastle at Barcelona professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:44Z

Reasoning: These are two completely independent soccer matches in different competitions. The outcome of one has no logical bearing on the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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