Pair #4019

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JSVE

Will Jesper Svensson win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 123352

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jesper Svensson wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JSVE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jesper Svensson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4805

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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