Pair #4018

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1096

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10124

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:35Z

Reasoning: If Jimmy Stanger finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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