Pair #4014

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1096

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 709

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jimmy Stanger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:18Z

Reasoning: If Jimmy Stanger finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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