Pair #4012

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 709

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Stanger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-JSTA

Will Jimmy Stanger lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3691

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Stanger is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:18Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue