Pair #4009

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JSTA

Will Jimmy Stanger win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2079

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Stanger wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JSTA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jimmy Stanger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jimmy Stanger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1096

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:18Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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