Pair #4006

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DFOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Ford finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 388

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Ford finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DFOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Ford finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Ford finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:18Z

Reasoning: If David Ford finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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