Pair #4003

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DFOR

Will David Ford win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16052

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DFOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Ford finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 20. So a win necessarily implies a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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