Pair #4001

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-DWU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 580

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DWU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 887

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:00Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish necessarily means finishing in the top 20. The reverse does not hold (could finish 6th-20th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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