Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-DWU
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 580
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DWU
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5904
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:00Z
Reasoning: A top 5 finish necessarily means finishing in the top 10 as well. The reverse does not hold (could finish 6th-10th and not be top 5).
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A