Pair #3998

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DWU

Will Dylan Wu win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2524

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dylan Wu wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DWU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 887

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 20. So a win necessarily implies a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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