Pair #3996

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DWU

Will Dylan Wu win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2524

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Dylan Wu wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DWU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5904

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:11:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. So a win necessarily implies a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold (top 10 does not mean a win).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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