Pair #3991

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ECOL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Eric Cole finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 895

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ECOL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Eric Cole finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1681

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Eric Cole finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:42Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse is not true — a player can finish top 20 without being top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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