Pair #3985

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8535

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3762

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.5400
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:42Z

Reasoning: If Grillo finishes top 20, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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