Pair #3982

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-EGRI

Will Emiliano Grillo win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18664

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-EGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3762

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.5400
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:42Z

Reasoning: To win a golf tournament, a player must make the cut. If Grillo wins the Houston Open, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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