Pair #3980

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-CBEZ

Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11837

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CBEZ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 646

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:22Z

Reasoning: If Bezuidenhout wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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