Pair #3974

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BHOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4786

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BHOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10897

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:22Z

Reasoning: If Hossler finishes in the top 10, he necessarily finishes in the top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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